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Modi urges self-reliance amid Trump’s 50% tariff on India


Trump’s 50% Tariffs Hit India: A Blow to Economic Growth

MUMBAI — Donald Trump’s steep 50% tariffs on India have kicked in, weeks after the US president issued an executive order imposing an additional 25% penalty on India over its purchases of Russian oil and weapons.

This makes India — one of the US’s strongest partners in the Indo-Pacific — among the countries hit with the highest tariffs in the world. This could deal a blow to exports and growth in the world’s fifth largest economy, given that the US was, until recently, India’s largest trading partner.

Indian Government in Firefighting Mode

The tariff setback has sent the Indian government into firefighting mode. Earlier this month, Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi made a promise to cut taxes to mitigate their economic impact. He has also urged domestic self-reliance.

Modi’s Call for Self-Reliance and Economic Resilience

He said that a Diwali gift in the form of a “massive tax bonanza” was on its way for the common man and the millions of small businesses that power Asia’s third largest economy. Wearing a bright saffron turban and addressing crowds of spectators from the ramparts of Delhi’s Red Fort during Independence Day celebrations, Modi also urged small shop owners and businesses to put up boards of “Swadeshi” or “Made in India” outside their stores.

Modi’s Economic Strategy Amidst Tariff Troubles

For many watching, this is clearly aimed at countering Donald Trump’s brutal 50% tariff rate on India which will disrupt millions of livelihoods across the country’s export-driven industries that supply everything from clothes to diamonds and shrimp to American consumers.

Tax Reforms and Economic Stimulus

But spurring long-pending tax reforms that immediately put more money into the hands of people could help the government soften some of the blow, experts say. And so, after a $12bn income tax giveaway announced in the budget earlier this year, Modi is now aiming for an overhaul of India’s indirect tax architecture – a reduction and simplification of the goods & service tax (GST).

Impact on Consumption and GDP Growth

Private consumption is a mainstay of India’s economy, contributing to nearly 60% of the country’s GDP. While rural spending – supported by a bumper harvest – has remained strong, demand for goods and services in cities has continued to slow down due to lower wages and job cuts in major sectors like IT, post the pandemic.

Optimism Amidst Challenges

India’s stock markets have cheered these announcements. And despite the panic caused by trade uncertainties, earlier this month, India also got a rare sovereign rating upgrade from S&P Global, after a gap of 18 years. A sovereign rating measures how risky it is to lend to a government or invest in a country. But even as Modi rushes through with long-delayed reforms, India’s growth prospects have slowed significantly from the 8% levels seen a few years ago, and its external crisis shows no sign of ebbing.

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